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Poker Hand Matchup: Luca Pagano vs. Samphane Phomveha

Luca Pagano Pre-Flop Post-Flop Post-Turn
54.44% 98.08% 84.09% W
Samphane Phomveha Pre-Flop Post-Flop Post-Turn
45.25% 1.92% 15.91%

Outcome

With the blinds at 6,000 and 12,000 with a 1,000 ante, Pagano raised to 28,000 from under the gun, Player A called, Phomveha reraised to 90,000 from the button, Pagano called, Player A folded. On the Flop, Pagano bet 125,000, Phomveha called. On the Turn, Pagano bet 325,000, Phomveha called. On the River, Pagano went all-in, Phomveha called.

Analysis

Pagano’s stack of 95 big blinds was well sized for set mining once Phomveha reraised the action with the three-bet. Small and middle pocket pairs are relatively easy to play, if they find a set they are deadly while they can also be discarded without much agita if they miss and face resistance. Phomveha was unfortunate to turn trips, making his hand much more difficult to get away from as Pagano proceeded to submit well tiered bets for maximum value. Phomveha could not make they laydown on the river, he was losing to A-K, A-Q, A-10, 7-7, 6-6, and also the less likely A-7 and A-6. He had not telegraphed his Ace with a raise on the flop or turn, but would Pagano forge ahead with an all-in bluff on the river after his two substantial calls? Probably not, but Phomveha’s hand strength and flat calls as well as Pagano’s excellent bet sizing pinned him into the call. Phomveha was crippled by the hand and soon finished in 42nd for € 15,000, while Pagano went on to finish 7th (€ 110,000) for his 7th EPT final table and 20th EPT cash. The title continues to elude him.